The Economic Intelligence Unit (EIU) has forecasted a win for the National Democratic Congress in the 2024 election but expects the NDC to present a fresh “candidate”.
The EIU, a credible international Economic and Political Research Consultancy group previously predicted the outcomes of Ghana’s election in 2008, 2012, 2016 and 2020 with 100% accuracy.
The latest report released April 13th 2022 sighted by MyNewsGh.com makes a forecast of the political and economic situation in Ghana for the next 5 years predicted the opposition NDC would win the 2024 election due to certain factors.
The EIU said its “baseline forecast is that ongoing public dissatisfaction with the slow pace of improvements in governance—such as infrastructure development, job creation and easing of corruption—will trigger anti-incumbency factors and push the electorate to seek a change.”
The next parliamentary and presidential elections are due in 2024. Under constitutionally mandated term limits, the incumbent president, Mr Akufo-Addo, cannot run for a third term. The former president, John Mahama, is reportedly considering running again, but we expect the opposition NDC to try to revitalise its prospects with a fresh candidate”, the report added.
Within the NDC, Mr. John Mahama appears to be clamouring to lead the party again into the 2024 election although he faces a challenge from former Central Bank Governor and Financce Minister Kwabena Duffour.
Some top figures of the party are fatigued with the candidature of Mr. Mahama and are calling for Duffour to unseat Mahama. Indeed, in 2020, Rawlings urged Duffour to run against Mahama then which he declined.
Ahead of 2024 however, Mahama is expected to win the internal NDC party race.
Meanwhile, the Minister of Information, Kojo Oppong Nkrumah, has disclosed the New Patriotic Party (NPP) is working to break the 8-year jinx.
The EIU team of economists, industry specialists, policy analysts and consultants who work to produce the highest quality data, research and analysis on everything from national elections and international trade, to food security and sustainable cities. The EIU predicted a “too close to call election” in 2008 which ended up in a runoff, predicted victory for Mahama in 2012 , victory for Akufo-Addo in 2016 and 2020
